12
Dadas Boy
5yo Gelding · 8-7
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Haras Des Faunes · 5f 102y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Tarbes | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 02/01/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 69% | +0.14 |
| 30/01/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.12 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 85% | +0.69 |
| 25/05/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 14% | -0.73 |
| 15/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 29/06/2026 | 14th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |