4
Goluptious
5yo Colt · 9-12
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Haras Des Faunes · 5f 102y
#11
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength46%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.1
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Dax | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Toulouse | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-06 | Toulouse | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-03-21 | La Teste De Buch | 1 | 13th | 9th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength80%
Delivery trend +9.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 24/11/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 43% | -0.45 |
| 18/12/2025 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 21/03/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/04/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 70% | +0.65 |