5
Mary Jayne
4yo Filly · 9-10
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Haras Des Faunes · 5f 102y
#12
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-07-06 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-27 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-16 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-05-06 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-04-03 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2024 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 18/02/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 07/03/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/04/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 06/05/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 87% | +0.71 |
| 16/05/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 46% | -0.33 |
| 27/06/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 06/07/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 05/09/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |