6
Pradaro
11yo Gelding · 9-8
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Haras Des Faunes · 5f 102y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength59%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 92% | +0.09 |
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 12/05/2026 | 10th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 12/06/2026 | 13th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 23/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 17/09/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |