10
Prolixe
3yo Gelding · 8-12
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Haras Des Faunes · 5f 102y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-04 | Marseille | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-10 | Marseille | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-12-17 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength27%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 45% | -0.28 |
| 15/09/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/12/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 10/02/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 04/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 23/03/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 45% | -0.12 |