Tudo Bem
10yo Gelding · 9-12
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Haras Des Faunes · 5f 102y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 15/02/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 12/05/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 13/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 58% | +0.06 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 12/08/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 87% | +0.45 |
| 03/09/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 19/09/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |