11
Virimoon Etoile
8yo Mare · 8-9
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Haras Des Faunes · 5f 102y
#9
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Mont De Marsan | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mont De Marsan | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 30/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.40 |
| 22/02/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 23/03/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 11/04/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 15% | -0.21 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 29/07/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |