14
Amoretti
5yo Gelding · 8-12
La Teste De Buch · Prix De L'ordre International Des Anysetiers Handicap · 7f 209y
#12
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Dax | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 11-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 14/10/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 04/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 03/06/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 29/08/2026 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 12/09/2026 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |