7
Black Magic Woman
6yo Mare · 9-4
La Teste De Buch · Prix De L'ordre International Des Anysetiers Handicap · 7f 209y
#13
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 12.4 /10 (raw 12.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-12-22 | Deauville | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Deauville | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Deauville | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 10-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength22%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2024 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/11/2024 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 06/08/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/10/2025 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/12/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 22/12/2025 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 29/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 20/08/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 11/09/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |