2
Fleur D'aquitaine
4yo Filly · 9-6
La Teste De Buch · Prix De L'ordre International Des Anysetiers Handicap · 7f 209y
#11
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 15.7 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C11.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -7.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Toulouse | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 40 | 11th | 54th | −36 |
| 2026-04-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
Delivery trend -8.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 21/11/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 12/03/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 01/04/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 27/04/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 21/05/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 69% | +0.22 |
| 10/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 58% | -0.21 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 54% | +0.06 |