4

La Portugaise
5yo Filly · 9-5
La Teste De Buch · Prix De L'ordre International Des Anysetiers Handicap · 7f 209y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 11-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.38 |
| 19/04/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 87% | +0.45 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 05/07/2026 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 27% | -0.36 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 25/07/2026 | 9th | 5/2 | 87% | 27% | -0.60 |
| 10/08/2026 | 12th | 8/1 | 58% | 8% | -0.50 |
| 29/08/2026 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 8% | -0.29 |