6

Showman
7yo Gelding · 9-5
La Teste De Buch · Prix De L'ordre International Des Anysetiers Handicap · 7f 209y
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength15%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-01 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-19 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-07-01 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-30 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-04-10 | Chantilly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-03-18 | Fontainebleau | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength12%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/2024 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |
| 13/04/2024 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 25/05/2024 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 18/03/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 77% | +0.16 |
| 10/04/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 27% | -0.31 |
| 30/05/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 36% | -0.35 |
| 01/07/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 19/07/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 01/08/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |