6

Showman

7yo Gelding · 9-5

La Teste De Buch · Prix De L'ordre International Des Anysetiers Handicap · 7f 209y

#8

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength15%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ La Teste De Buch 23/03/2024 · Pos 14th of 17 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 12823/03C?C0 @ Tarbes 13/04/2024 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 125C0 @ Saint-Cloud 25/05/2024 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 6f101y Ver 12525/05C?C0 @ Fontainebleau 18/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Hvy 125C0 @ Chantilly 10/04/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12010/04C?C0 @ Senonnes-Pouance 30/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f156y Sft 131C0 @ Mont De Marsan 01/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1231/07C?C0 @ La Teste De Buch 19/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 5f102y Gd 112C0 @ Mont De Marsan 01/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1301/08C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-08-01Mont De Marsan?4th4th0
2025-07-19La Teste De Buch?9th9th0
2025-07-01Mont De Marsan?5th5th0
2025-05-30Senonnes-Pouance?8th8th0
2025-04-10Chantilly?9th9th0
2025-03-18Fontainebleau?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0318/031/071/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength12%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/03/202414th25/10%19%+0.19
13/04/20248th20/10%22%+0.22
25/05/202413th33/10%8%+0.08
18/03/20254th15/261%77%+0.16
10/04/20259th8/158%27%-0.31
30/05/20258th11/271%36%-0.35
01/07/20255th9/153%71%+0.19
19/07/20259th14/126%33%+0.07
01/08/20254th14/126%75%+0.49