5
Ugatzai
5yo Gelding · 9-5
La Teste De Buch · Prix De L'ordre International Des Anysetiers Handicap · 7f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
66%
Place Prob
46%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-16 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-02 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-28 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength98%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2024 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 23/01/2025 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 18% | -0.53 |
| 05/03/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 28/03/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 02/06/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 16/07/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 92% | +0.00 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 77% | -0.15 |