3
Amity
4yo Filly · 9-5
La Teste De Buch · Prix Haras Des Petits Champs Handicap · 7f 209y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Toulouse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Tarbes | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/2026 | 15th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 03/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 53% | +0.16 |
| 15/06/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 47% | -0.01 |
| 03/07/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.36 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 73% | +0.05 |
| 16/09/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 79% | -0.03 |