1
Draco
5yo Gelding · 9-6
La Teste De Buch · Prix Haras Des Petits Champs Handicap · 7f 209y
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Mont De Marsan | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Marseille | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 4-15 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength24%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.06 |
| 03/05/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 53% | -0.23 |
| 18/05/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.22 |
| 06/06/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 27% | -0.49 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 29/07/2026 | 11th | 10/3 | 82% | 9% | -0.73 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 91% | +0.75 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 64% | -0.02 |