4
Jordan Baker
7yo Gelding · 9-4
La Teste De Buch · Prix Haras Des Petits Champs Handicap · 7f 209y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.19 |
| 01/04/2026 | 12th | 3/1 | 84% | 27% | -0.58 |
| 23/04/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 53% | +0.38 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 62% | +0.04 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 85% | +0.21 |