6
Rising Up
6yo Horse · 9-2
La Teste De Buch · Prix Haras Des Petits Champs Handicap · 7f 209y
#2
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 11.9 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C10.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Toulouse | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 40 | 4th | 47th | −36 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 11-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 20/02/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.31 |
| 12/03/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 53% | -0.18 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 85% | +0.21 |
| 27/04/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 77% | -0.05 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.13 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 15/07/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 54% | +0.12 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 42% | +0.15 |