15
Rosadora
5yo Filly · 8-7
La Teste De Buch · Prix Haras Des Petits Champs Handicap · 7f 209y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Tarbes | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Toulouse | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-12-18 | Deauville | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-12-04 | Pau | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 11-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 25/10/2025 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 13/11/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/12/2025 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/12/2025 | 16th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/04/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 21/05/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 27% | +0.21 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 69% | +0.22 |