9
Solaire
6yo Mare · 8-13
La Teste De Buch · Prix Haras Des Petits Champs Handicap · 7f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
90%
Place Prob
64%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 14.0 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C11.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -7.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Toulouse | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 40 | 7th | 50th | −36 |
| 2026-04-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength91%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 02/01/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |
| 12/03/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 01/04/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 27/04/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 54% | +0.01 |
| 21/05/2026 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 85% | +0.69 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |