12
Toogoodtoberood
4yo Gelding · 8-11
La Teste De Buch · Prix Haras Des Petits Champs Handicap · 7f 209y
#12
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Saint-Malo | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-05-11 | Nantes | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Pornichet | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength46%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 64% | -0.02 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 27/02/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/05/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/07/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 02/08/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |