2

Wathab

5yo Gelding · 9-5

La Teste De Buch · Prix Haras Des Petits Champs Handicap · 7f 209y

#8

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pau 04/12/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1314/12C?C0 @ Pau 16/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1244 @ Mont De Marsan 12/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 12212/034C0 @ La Teste De Buch 01/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1274 @ Toulouse 21/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y GS 13021/0544 @ La Teste De Buch 03/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 1254 @ Tarbes 03/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 7f100y Sft 1213/0744 @ Mont De Marsan 29/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1304 @ Tarbes 29/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12329/084projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Tarbes45th5th0
2026-07-29Mont De Marsan41st1st0
2026-07-03Tarbes41st1st0
2026-06-03La Teste De Buch411th11th0
2026-05-21Toulouse47th7th0
2026-04-01La Teste De Buch?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/121/043/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength89%

Delivery trend +8.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/12/202515th7/163%7%-0.56
16/12/202512th12/137%21%-0.15
12/03/20268th13/266%50%-0.16
01/04/202610th9/153%40%-0.13
21/05/20267th8/158%60%+0.02
03/06/202611th9/153%33%-0.19
03/07/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
29/07/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
29/08/20265th8/158%67%+0.09