7
Burning Heart
4yo Colt · 9-6
La Teste De Buch · Px Du C. Des Partenaires De L'hipp. De La Teste-h. De La Petite Brunie Handicap · 7f 209y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength51%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | La Teste De Buch | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mont De Marsan | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 91% | +0.30 |
| 11/05/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 54% | -0.29 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 87% | +0.26 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.18 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 93% | +0.09 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |