Gran Habano
4yo Gelding · 9-7
La Teste De Buch · Px Du C. Des Partenaires De L'hipp. De La Teste-h. De La Petite Brunie Handicap · 7f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | La Teste De Buch | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-24 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-02-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 69% | +0.17 |
| 03/01/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 20/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 18/02/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 45% | -0.18 |
| 24/02/2026 | 12th | 17/2 | 55% | 21% | -0.34 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 45% | -0.07 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 1/2 | 97% | 25% | -0.72 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |