10
Gris De Perles
6yo Gelding · 9-5
La Teste De Buch · Px Du C. Des Partenaires De L'hipp. De La Teste-h. De La Petite Brunie Handicap · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mont De Marsan | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Dax | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 9-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength12%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 01/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |
| 11/06/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 36% | -0.41 |
| 08/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 26/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 26/08/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 47% | +0.05 |