11

Lauper

7yo Mare · 9-4

La Teste De Buch · Px Du C. Des Partenaires De L'hipp. De La Teste-h. De La Petite Brunie Handicap · 7f 209y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength23%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Pornichet 28/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m99y Std 13128/12C5C5 @ Machecoul 10/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m44y Hvy 1204 @ Fontainebleau 06/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1206/0344 @ Mont De Marsan 23/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 5f212y GS 141C8 @ Dax 18/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 13018/05C83 @ La Teste De Buch 03/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y GS 121 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Dax 17/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS17/0733 @ Mont De Marsan 17/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 124 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Tarbes 29/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 7f100y GS 12029/084projClass-projected finish: 14th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Tarbes49th9th0
2026-08-17Mont De Marsan310th9th+1
2026-07-17Dax36th5th+1
2026-06-03La Teste De Buch38th7th+1
2026-05-18Dax?4th8th4
2026-03-23Mont De Marsan42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1223/0317/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 8-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength17%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/12/20255th12/137%43%+0.06
10/02/20267th18/15%25%+0.20
06/03/20264th25/10%63%+0.63
23/03/20262nd14/126%93%+0.67
18/05/20264th11/142%77%+0.35
03/06/20268th22/10%53%+0.53
17/07/20266th14/126%44%+0.18
17/08/202610th14/126%10%-0.16
29/08/20269th33/10%20%+0.20