15
Ocean
8yo Gelding · 8-13
La Teste De Buch · Px Du C. Des Partenaires De L'hipp. De La Teste-h. De La Petite Brunie Handicap · 7f 209y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Toulouse | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Mont De Marsan | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 10/10/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.32 |
| 01/11/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 12/03/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 27/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 58% | +0.43 |
| 21/05/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 11/06/2026 | 15th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.39 |