1
Oxalis
9yo Gelding · 10-3
La Teste De Buch · Px Du C. Des Partenaires De L'hipp. De La Teste-h. De La Petite Brunie Handicap · 7f 209y
#9
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength19%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | La Teste De Buch | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-07-27 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-26 | Marseille-borely | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-04-28 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength52%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2025 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |
| 24/03/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 12/04/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 28/04/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 26/05/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 26/06/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |
| 05/07/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 27/07/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 05/09/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |