Paint It Black
8yo Gelding · 9-7
La Teste De Buch · Px Du C. Des Partenaires De L'hipp. De La Teste-h. De La Petite Brunie Handicap · 7f 209y
#13
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Senonnes-Pouance | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-01-30 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-09 | Deauville | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2025-12-18 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 22/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 03/12/2025 | 9th | 5/2 | 87% | 38% | -0.48 |
| 18/12/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 09/01/2026 | 14th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 30/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |
| 31/07/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/08/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 10/09/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |