2

Shutterwood

4yo Filly · 10-0

La Teste De Buch · Px Du C. Des Partenaires De L'hipp. De La Teste-h. De La Petite Brunie Handicap · 7f 209y

#6

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength48%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pau 28/11/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12928/11C?2 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 23/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Toulouse 08/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1288/06C53 @ La Teste De Buch 26/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Tarbes 03/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 1433/0743 @ Vichy 20/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 130 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ La Teste De Buch 05/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS5/0833 @ Deauville 16/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f211y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Moulins 28/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 120 · HIGHER CLASS28/083projClass-projected finish: 4th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Moulins34th3rd+1
2026-08-16Deauville33rd2nd+1
2026-08-05La Teste De Buch37th6th+1
2026-07-20Vichy38th7th+1
2026-07-03Tarbes47th7th0
2026-06-26La Teste De Buch36th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1126/065/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/11/202515th50/10%7%+0.07
23/05/202610th50/10%10%+0.10
08/06/20267th40/10%40%+0.40
26/06/20266th33/10%44%+0.44
03/07/20267th11/142%14%-0.28
20/07/20268th40/10%53%+0.53
05/08/20267th25/10%40%+0.40
16/08/20263rd40/10%82%+0.82
28/08/20264th17/255%70%+0.15