11
Mignon Des Mace
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Talicia Bella - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#14
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Enghien | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-22 | Graignes | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Graignes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-21 | Pornichet | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-29 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-05-30 | Nancy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 2-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength54%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 20/02/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/03/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 55% | -0.27 |
| 30/05/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 29/07/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 21/08/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |