9

Lady Du Vallon

5yo Filly · 0-0

Laval · Prix Triode De Felliere - Attele · 1m 2f 41y

#12

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 23/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 023/12C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 02/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 05 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 31/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 031/0155 @ Marseille 13/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 05 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 20/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 020/025C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 03/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 05 @ Laval 11/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 011/065C0 @ Pornichet 08/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 28/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 028/07C?projClass-projected finish: 12th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28Meslay Du Maine?5th5th0
2026-07-08Pornichet?7th7th0
2026-06-11Laval512th12th0
2026-03-03Cagnes-sur-Mer?4th4th0
2026-02-20Cagnes-sur-Mer57th7th0
2026-02-13Marseille51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1213/0211/0628/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 6-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%

Delivery trend -1.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/12/20257th40/10%54%+0.54
02/01/20267th33/10%50%+0.50
31/01/20265th18/15%50%+0.45
13/02/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
20/02/20267th12/137%45%+0.09
03/03/20264th25/10%63%+0.63
11/06/202612th66/10%15%+0.15
08/07/20267th33/10%0%0.00
28/07/20265th20/10%71%+0.71