5
Laurene De Bailly
5yo Filly · 0-0
Laval · Prix Triode De Felliere - Attele · 1m 2f 41y
#15
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength12%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Divonne Les Bains | 2 | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-08-18 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | La Capelle | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 11-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 16/02/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 16/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 11/06/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 25/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 31/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 08/09/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 9% | -0.38 |