1
Lilyrose Wind
5yo Filly · 0-0
Laval · Prix Triode De Felliere - Attele · 1m 2f 41y
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-11 | Laval | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Le Mans | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Caen | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength37%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 21/10/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 20/02/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 09/03/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 30/03/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 14/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 21/05/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 77% | +0.35 |