15
Lisa Maria
5yo Filly · 0-0
Laval · Prix Triode De Felliere - Attele · 1m 2f 41y
#5
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Amiens | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Cabourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Cholet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-15 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-07-08 | Saint-Malo | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-01-24 | Saint Brieuc | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 6-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.68 |
| 24/01/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 08/07/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 62% | +0.56 |
| 15/08/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |