10
Louisiane Girl
5yo Filly · 0-0
Laval · Prix Triode De Felliere - Attele · 1m 2f 41y
#1
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
56%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | Laval | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Vincennes | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-01-13 | Vincennes | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-05 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 10-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 05/12/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 12/12/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 01/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 92% | -0.02 |
| 13/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 86% | -0.07 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |