4
Lucrece De Corday
5yo Filly · 0-0
Laval · Prix Triode De Felliere - Attele · 1m 2f 41y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Les Sables | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Enghien | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-11 | Laval | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength78%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 88% | +0.83 |
| 16/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 24/12/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 16/01/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 69% | -0.10 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 02/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 46% | +0.09 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |