3
Express D'arc
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Transgourmet - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#11
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 2 | +2 | ||
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Vincennes | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength63%
Delivery trend +7.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 29/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 82% | -0.05 |
| 02/11/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 14/12/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.21 |
| 03/01/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 13/01/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 03/07/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |