9
Graziela D'el
10yo Mare · 0-0
Laval · Prix Transgourmet - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#16
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-24 | Vincennes | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Laval | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Angers | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-25 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 05/12/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 15/01/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 24/01/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/02/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/02/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 23/04/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 21/06/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/08/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |