11

Ilmat Des Keches

8yo Gelding · 0-0

Laval · Prix Transgourmet - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#5

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cherbourg 18/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 018/08C?C0 @ Pornichet 20/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Laval 04/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04/10C?C0 @ Laval 07/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Le Mans 15/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 015/12C?C0 @ Maure De Bretagne 02/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04 @ Laval 26/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 026/024C0 @ Laval 23/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Pornichet 08/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 08/07C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27Chatelaillon?0
2026-07-08Pornichet?8th8th0
2026-06-19Vincennes3+1
2026-04-23Laval?2nd2nd0
2026-02-26Laval45th5th0
2026-02-02Maure De Bretagne?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/087/1126/028/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength8%

Delivery trend +2.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/08/20251st5/696%100%+0.04
20/09/202510th5/287%31%-0.56
04/10/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
07/11/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
15/12/20252nd7/491%94%+0.03
02/02/20264th11/893%82%-0.10
26/02/20265th5/287%73%-0.14
23/04/20262nd5/174%93%+0.20
08/07/20268th10/147%46%-0.01