16
Invisible Sam
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Transgourmet - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#13
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Vincennes | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 4-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength31%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.21 |
| 24/05/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 46% | -0.28 |
| 19/12/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 21/01/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 83% | +0.78 |
| 07/02/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 10/04/2026 | 15th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |