1

Kapitano De Source
6yo Horse · 0-0
Laval · Prix Transgourmet - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#12
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Agon-Coutainville | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-10 | Chatelaillon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-03 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 8-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength30%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2024 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 08/06/2024 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 23/06/2024 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/03/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 12/04/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 25/12/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 03/01/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |