1

Kapitano De Source

6yo Horse · 0-0

Laval · Prix Transgourmet - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#12

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 11/05/2024 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 011/05C?C0 @ Vincennes 08/06/2024 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 23/06/2024 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 023/06C?C0 @ Caen 10/03/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 12/04/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 25/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 03/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 03/01C?4 @ Laval 28/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 05/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05/09C?projClass-projected finish: 13th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Vincennes?6th6th0
2026-08-28Laval45th5th0
2026-07-05Agon-Coutainville?0
2026-05-10Chatelaillon?0
2026-05-02Vincennes40
2026-01-03Vincennes?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0510/033/015/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 8-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%

Delivery trend -0.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/20247th28/10%45%+0.45
08/06/20249th33/10%38%+0.38
23/06/20248th20/10%0%0.00
10/03/20258th50/10%30%+0.30
12/04/20259th66/10%11%+0.11
25/12/20256th28/10%58%+0.58
03/01/20269th66/10%47%+0.47
28/08/20265th10/147%64%+0.16
05/09/20266th20/10%29%+0.29