4
Knockonwood
6yo Horse · 0-0
Laval · Prix Transgourmet - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#14
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-06 | Enghien | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Caen | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength69%
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/01/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 18/01/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/02/2026 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 12/03/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |