12

Kysko De Fael

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Laval · Prix Speedy Blue - Attele · 1m 5f 38y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

27%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength5%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 26/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 026/12C?4 @ Vincennes 06/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 19/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 14319/01C?C0 @ Vichy 04/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 18/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 018/05C?C0 @ Feurs 12/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 06 @ Pornichet 16/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 016/076C0 @ Enghien 01/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 06 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 022/086projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Cagnes-sur-Mer64th6th2
2026-08-01Enghien?3rd3rd0
2026-07-16Pornichet61st3rd2
2026-06-12Feurs?3rd3rd0
2026-05-31Chartres?0
2026-05-18Vichy?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/124/0516/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/12/20256th15/261%64%+0.04
06/01/20266th10/147%58%+0.11
19/01/20265th10/147%43%-0.05
04/05/20264th16/116%79%+0.63
18/05/20263rd14/126%87%+0.60
12/06/20263rd14/126%82%+0.56
16/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
01/08/20263rd6/168%78%+0.09
22/08/20264th11/486%75%-0.11