13

Nuit Transeenne

3yo Filly · 8-13

Laval · Prix Scipion Du Goutier - Monte · 1m 6f 36y

#7

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength4%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Les Sables 21/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS21/085C0 @ Cabourg 01/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1251/09C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 13/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 12513/09C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Chateaubriant?7th7th0
2026-09-01Cabourg?5th5th0
2026-08-21Les Sables53rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/081/0913/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 12-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%

Delivery trend -16.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/20263rd80/10%78%+0.78
01/09/20265th18/15%64%+0.58
13/09/20267th33/10%45%+0.45