16

Breeze Of Tobruk
4yo Filly · 11-5
Listowel · Buckley Agri New Holland Irish EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m
#17
Rank
Odds
200/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Killarney | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-16 | Limerick | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Cork | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 18-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -32.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 18th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 16/04/2026 | 10th | 500/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |