4
Churchfield Annie
5yo Mare · 11-7
Listowel · Buckley Agri New Holland Irish EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼7
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.8
Today:
Class gap: +7.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Navan | 1 | +7 | ||
| 2025-10-26 | Galway | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Tipperary | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 17-18 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -14.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 26/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 71% | -0.24 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |