9

Messonghi

5yo Mare · 11-7

Listowel · Buckley Agri New Holland Irish EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m

#15

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Timeform

Commentary

Twice-raced maiden. Behind when fell on debut and was never involved second time up. Very hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 28/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 2m1f87y Goo 15328/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Down Royal?9th9th0
2026-07-10Kilbeggan?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1818% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength6%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/08/20269th150/10%11%+0.11