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10

Moja Dama

5yo Mare · 11-7

Listowel · Buckley Agri New Holland Irish EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won second time out in bumpers at Downpatrick this time last year. Off 11 months and proved to be a disappointment when well held on hurdling debut at Cork in July, not looking straightforward. Clearly talented but has a bit to prove all of a sudden.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Kilbeggan 09/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m Goo 1589/08C?C0 @ Downpatrick 19/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m1f165y Yie 15919/09C?C8 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 20 · OR - · 2m1f60y Goo 15910/07C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Cork?12th12th0
2025-09-19Downpatrick?1st1st0
2025-08-09Kilbeggan?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0819/0910/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 7-18 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength21%

Delivery trend -13.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20253rd16/583%75%-0.08
19/09/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
10/07/202612th9/276%42%-0.34