11

Sea Limit

6yo Mare · 11-7

Listowel · Buckley Agri New Holland Irish EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m

#18

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

Timeform

Commentary

Getaway mare who has some fairly useful winners in her pedigree but looked a longer-term/handicap project in 2 maiden hurdle runs to date.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Ballinrobe 10/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 2m109y Goo 15110/08C8C8 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 15122/08C8projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Killarney?9th9th0
2026-08-10Ballinrobe?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0822/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength50%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20269th100/10%43%+0.43
22/08/20269th200/10%47%+0.47