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14

The Besty Woman

5yo Mare · 11-7

Listowel · Buckley Agri New Holland Irish EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Promising type in this sphere who made the frame in maiden at Naas in January. Ran well twice in bumpers since, winning 14-runner race (6/4) at Wexford (2m, good to soft) when last seen back in May. Bumper form suggests she's capable of better back hurdling

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 15/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 19 · OR - · 2m Sft 16115/12C8C8 @ Naas 09/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 25 · OR - · 2m Yie 1599/01C8C0 @ Cork 19/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 2m Yie 16519/03C?C0 @ Wexford 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 2m Goo 16516/05C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-16Wexford?1st1st0
2026-03-19Cork?3rd3rd0
2026-01-09Naas?4th4th0
2025-12-15Naas?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/129/0119/0316/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength64%

Delivery trend -21.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/12/202510th50/10%50%+0.50
09/01/20264th80/10%88%+0.88
19/03/20263rd3/184%83%-0.01
16/05/20261st6/492%100%+0.08